1.4 Polls and Predictions

1. What has changed since Clinton's high point in Mid-August? Since her peak, some key states were being competitive again, as she may lose them to Trump. This may be caused by her pneumonia and her fainting spell.

2. Looking at the graph, when was the largest lead for Clinton over Trump in the polls? The week of August 7th. 

3.  About how big is the gap between the candidates now? Three percentage points.

4. What arguments can Clinton's opponents make because of her new health issues? People can now say she's secretive and manipulative as she hid her pneumonia for a few days before coming out about it. 

5. Which swing states are mentioned and how does Clinton fare in those places? Her leads in swing states have gotten smaller: Virginia 11 points to 6, Wisconsin 11 points to 5, New Hampshire 9 points to 5, Pennsylvania 9 points to 6, Florida 5 points tie. 

6. What 3 reasons does the author give for the recent tightening in the polls? Trump started spending more money on TV ads, changed his campaign team and strategy, and has avoided controversies in the past month. In addition, Clinton had her email scandal and the Clinton Foundation issues, and she has pneumonia. 

7. What specific changes has the Trump campaign made since mid August? He has a new campaign team and also started investing in ads in swing states, and he has stopped doing constant terrible interviews. 

8. How has the Trump campaign changed its spending habits? He put more money into the swing state ads. 

9. What did the Clinton campaign change up in August? Clinton focused more so on fundraising instead of campaigning.

10. How does Vox author Jeff Stein account for some changes in the polls? He discussed the changes in the likelihood of someone replying to polls. They usually respond when they are totally in favor of the person they are supporting. 

11.  What is Obama's criticism of the way the media is handling Clinton and Trump? Obama criticizes the media's attempt to equalize the two candidates, and he advocates for Clinton's transparency. The Clinton Foundation is for a good cause, whereas Trump's buys paintings of himself. He says we cannot treat this like a reality show. He says that we can't act like there is equivalence in the two candidates.